If I had a buck for every prediction Rob got wrong this campaign, I could buy us all drinks. Fortunately for Rob, I didn’t keep track of them all (didn’t he say Romney would win Vermont?), but I do remember he claimed California was in play and Nancy Pelosi was in trouble, because of all the Asian-Americans now trending Republican. That prediction came back to me when I saw this about the Asian vote in a Steve and Cokie Roberts column:
Seventy-three percent of these voters backed the president, up from 62 percent in 2008. John Kerry was the first Democrat to get a majority of this group, 56 percent in 2004, and as recently as 1992, Bill Clinton won only 31 percent of the Asian vote.
Two political scientists who have studied this trend, Taeku Lee and Karthick Ramakrishnan, summed up their findings recently in the Los Angeles Times: “Asian-Americans are no longer a swing vote or a crouching tiger in the electorate; their political stripes are now distinctly Democratic blue.”