The Storm Prediction Center has now placed the southwest half of Butler County at a MODERATE risk for severe thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction Center current Day 1 outlook notes: “…The activity may grow upscale into one or more bowing MCS (Mesoscale Covective Systems) by this evening as storms spread EWD/SEWD…with an increasing threat of more widespread damaging winds along the leading edge.”
After speaking with the National Weather Service office in Wichita, the system is still somewhat dicey, but best timing, at least at this time, in our area will be a late-evening arrival. Storms are expected to fire out in western Kansas and then move across the State. While tornadic supercells are possible to our west, it appears that this system will evolve into a wind threat (also indicated by the SPC) as it moves through our area. Large hail is also a possibility. The NWS Wichita office is working on constructing a video briefing to be posted to their website by 1 p.m. The most current information can be found on their page at: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ict/?n=embrief .